These days I like to discuss

- BB-8
- Postdoc-ing at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
- Co-founding R-Ladies Nashville
- Causal inference
- Monty Python
- Vanderbilt’s Biostatistics PhD program
- Large-scale medical data
- Italian
- Data science pedagogy

over coffee…

Challenges in Augmenting Randomized Trials with Observational Health Records

Jul 29, 2019
2:55 PM

Verifying that a statistically significant result is scientifically meaningful is not only good scientific practice, it is a natural way to control the Type I error rate. Here we introduce a novel extension of the p-valueâ€”a second-generation p-value ($p_Î´$)â€“that formally accounts for scientific relevance and leverages this natural Type I Error control. The approach relies on a pre-specified interval null hypothesis that represents the collection of effect sizes that are scientifically uninteresting or are practically null. The second-generation p-value is the proportion of data-supported hypotheses that are also null hypotheses. As such, second-generation p-values indicate when the data are compatible with null hypotheses ($p_Î´$ = 1), or with alternative hypotheses ($p_Î´$ = 0), or when the data are inconclusive (0 < $p_Î´$ < 1). Moreover, second-generation p-values provide a proper scientific adjustment for multiple comparisons and reduce false discovery rates. This is an advance for environments rich in data, where traditional p-value adjustments are needlessly punitive. Second-generation p-values promote transparency, rigor and reproducibility of scientific results by a priori specifying which candidate hypotheses are practically meaningful and by providing a more reliable statistical summary of when the data are compatible with alternative or null hypotheses.

In *PLoS One*,
2018

Location bias occurs when a reader detects a false lesion in a subject with disease and the falsely detected lesion is considered a true positive. In this study, we examine the effect of location bias in two large MRMC ROC studies, comparing three ROC scoring methods. We compare one method that only uses the maximum confidence score and does not take location bias into account (maxROC), and two methods that take location bias into account: the region of interest ROC (ROIâ€“ROC) and the free-response ROC (FROC). In both studies, when comparing two modalities’ ROC areas without adjusting for location bias, the effect size depends on the difference in the frequency of location bias between the two modalities. When the difference in frequency is small, the effect size is similar whether the location bias is corrected for or not. However, when the frequency of location bias is dissimilar, failure to correct for the location bias favors the modality with higher false positive rate. Location bias should be corrected when the next step in the clinical management of the patient depends on the specific location of the detected lesion and/or when the frequency of the bias is dissimilar between the two modalities.

In *Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research*,
2016

Brenda T Pun, Michele C Balas, Mary Ann Barnes-Daly, Jennifer L Thompson, J Matthew Aldrich, Juliana Barr, Diane Byrum, Shannon S Carson, John W Devlin, Heidi J Engel, Cheryl L Esbrook, Ken D Hargett, Lori RRT Harmon, Christina Hielsberg, James C Jackson, Tamra L Kelly, Vishakha Kumar, Lawson Millner, Alexandra Morse, Christiane S Perme, Patricia J Posa, Kathleen A Puntillo, William D Schweickert, Joanna L Stollings, Alai Tan, **Lucy D’Agostino McGowan**, E Wesley Ely.
Caring for Critically Ill Patients with the ABCDEF Bundle: Results of the ICU Liberation Collaborative in Over 15,000 Adults.
In *Critical Care Medicine*,
2019.

HJ Murff, CL Roumie, RA Greevy, AJ Hackstadt, **L Dâ€™Agostino McGowan**, AM Hung, CG Grijalva, MR Griffin.
Metformin use and incidence cancer risk: evidence for a selective protective effect against liver cancer.
In *Cancer Causes & Control*,
2018.

JD Blume, **L D’Agostino McGowan**, WD Dupont, RA Greevy.
Second-generation p-values: Improved rigor, reproducibility, & transparency in statistical analyses.
In *PLoS One*,
2018.

- Frank Harrell’s Regression Modeling Strategies (2017)
- Statistical Collaboration in Health Sciences Teaching Assistant (2015)
- Modern Regression Analysis Teaching Assistant (2015)
- Principles of Modern Biostatistics Teaching Assistant (2014)

- Introduction to SAS Teaching Assistant (2013)
- Introduction to Clinical Epidemiology Teaching Assistant (2013)
- Randomized Controlled Trials Teaching Assistant (2013)

- R
- Math GRE
- SAS
- Introduction to Biostatistics